Whose job is the timing in Karabakh war?
One way or another, there is a fact that we must underline: Sultan Tayyip Erdogan is walking on the bloody trail of his own history step by step...
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict led by Erdogan-ruled Turkey provides much evidence that he intervenes directly. Moreover, it is also possible to consider the timing of the war as Erdogan's conscious choice and read it as a kind of symbol.
The starting day of this war is the very day of the 100th year of the previous Turanian expedition. On September 28, 1920, the Eastern Front Army under the command of the Ankara government started the Armenian expedition. On September 27, 2020, under the covert command of Ankara, the Azerbaijani army launched the war against Nagorno-Karabakh and Armenia.
One of this year's most hotly domestic and foreign policy issues in Turkey was the conversion of Hagia Sophia into a mosque. Erdogan chose the 24th of July for this. That Friday, coinciding with the anniversary of the 1923 Lausanne Treaty, was the perfect fit for such a move. Many commentators stated that the day chosen for this was very meaningful, and nobody doubted that Erdogan was doing this on purpose.
Last year, on October 9, 2019, the Turkish army launched an invasion operation against Rojava, the de facto autonomy zone controlled by the PYD, in north-east Syria. Interestingly, this date coincided with the anniversary of a very significant earlier event regarding the Kurdish issue. PKK’s leader Abdullah Ocalan was removed from Syria October 9, 1998 as a result of the ultimatum Turkey had sent. As is known, this date was the beginning day of the international conspiracy that led to Ocalan being handed over to Turkey after a short while.
Furthermore, it is interesting that the war started against Nagorno-Karabakh on Sunday morning, September 27, 2020, coincides with the centenary of the offensive launched by the Ottoman Empire on Armenia on September 28, 1920. We can qualify this as the last attempt of Turanian conquest and expansion. Perhaps, while Erdogan wanted this attack to be launched on September 28, the planning officers chose Sunday morning to attack at the most unexpected moment.
It is clear that Erdogan, who, in addition to his multi-directional expansion policy in the Middle East, wants to expand into the Caucasus and threatens Armenia, which is an obstacle to this expansion in the east. The last war Turkey has waged together with Azerbaijan targeted not only Nagorno-Karabakh but also Armenia.
Diplomacy that imposes the surrender of Nagorno-Karabakh to Azerbaijan is doomed to fail, as in the past. However, on the condition that it recognizes the will of the people of Nagorno-Karabakh and accepts its connection with Armenia, the request of Azerbaijan to return other lands can be accepted. Any approach other than solving the issue through mutual concessions has no chance of being implemented. Everyone who is in favor of peace should speak out considering this reality and support the development of an acceptable reconciliation formula for the two sides.