Reading numbers after the elections

A preliminary analysis of the HDP vote.

The 24 June elections in Turkey were marked by fraud and irregularities.

In these controversial elections, the HDP (Peoples’ Democratic Party) has succeeded in entering the parliament and is the third party.

Looking at some of figures and the result of the HDP we can see the social dynamics moving through this election.

This analysis also provides useful perspectives for work programs to be developed for the future.

Let's then look at some of the results from the election results from this angle ...

** According to unconfirmed results, the HDP is the third largest party in the parliament having won 5,865,977 vote, or 11.71%. This result has returned 67 representatives.

Again, the HDP rate abroad is of around 260 thousand votes.

The HDP is the first party in 7 countries.

These countries and the share of the vote obtained by the HDP are as follows:

Sweden - 37.1%

Finland - 48.1%

United Kingdom - 49.2%

Switzerland - 40.8%

Japan - 44.3%

Ukraine - 29.5%

Iraq - 47.89%

** According to the results, the HDP got the highest number of votes in the following provinces:

Hakkari and Şırnak where the HDP got 70.2% of the votes.

There are differences among the provinces.

The place where the HDP got the highest vote was Lice, 86.5%.

After Lice, we find Başkale (84.4%), Varto (83%), Cizre (82.1%) and Nusaybin (81.7%).

As it can be seen from these figures it is clear that the places where the state violence hit the hardest are the places that voted for the HDP the most.

This is not only a question of numbers or majority of votes, but also of a different sociological reality. Despite the brutality of the state violence, here people have stood up and refused to change or step back when it came to give support to the party they support.

It is also worth mentioning as a small note that the place where the AKP got the least votes in Kurdistan is Dersim-Ovacık district. The AKP here got 5.7%.

** HDP is the only party that increases the vote after the 1 November elections.

AKP lost 6.94%, CHP 2.68% and MHP 0.80%, while HDP showed an increase of 0.94%.

** HDP is the first party in Amed (Diyarbakır), Van, Mardin, Batman, Agrı, Şırnak, Muş, Siirt, Hakkari, Idil and Dersim.

Again in comparison with the 1 November elections, the vote increased in the regions of Adana, Adıyaman, Erzincan, Antep, Malatya and Urfa.

** The HDP is first in 3 big cities out of 30. These are Amed, Van, Mardin.

* HDP presidential candidate, Selahattin Demirtas got most votes in Şirnak, Hakkari, Amed, Batman and Agri.

He received a total of 4,205,243 votes. In the 2014 presidential election, he had received 3,958,103 votes.

The number of votes increased by around 247,000.

Now let's look at some of the rates that are changing in Kurdistan, or more specifically, at the irregularities and frauds which have affect the vote.

** The HDP lived in Şirnak and Hakkari the biggest vote loss compared to the 1 November 2015 elections. The loss in Şirnak is 15,29% while Hakkari is 13,54%.

As mentioned above, in this election, these are also the two provinces where the HDP got the best result. So, what to make out of this? Food for thought…

** While the HDP decreased its vote in 17 places, it increased it in 64. Interestingly, all the loss was experienced in the Kurdish provinces where traditionally the HDP got the best results.

And curiously, the MHP is the only party that increased the vote in all of Kurdistan without exception (!).

This is the clearest explanation of the all mess with the transfer and merge of voting stations.

The MHP showed a 400% increase in votes in some places. And places where it could only dream of get a single vote!

** When we look at the seven regions of Turkey that returned HDP deputies we’ll see that most of the 67 deputies are coming from East and South East (Kurdistan Region).

A total of 45 deputies were elected in these two regions. (The HDP got 27 deputies from the Southeast, while the AKP got 30).

The HDP could not elect a deputy in the Black Sea while only one deputy was elected in the Central Anatolia Region.

All the deputies elected in the Marmara region were elected in Istanbul except from 1 elected in Kocaeli.

As to the Aegean region, the HDP got two deputies, both elected in Izmir.

** The provinces where HDP got the least votes are Bayburt and Kütahya.

In both places we are looking at a rate of 0.7%. These figures are followed by Afyon and Gümüşhane with 0.8% ...