Who is planning what in Kobanê - Amed Dicle
Who is planning what in Kobanê - Amed Dicle
Who is planning what in Kobanê - Amed Dicle
It was the 15th of September, 2014. ISIS's attacks on Kobanê were about to start. Omer Alus, the person in charge of foreign relations for the Kobanê canton, receives a phone call from a UN official telling him that preparations have been made for 400,000 people to flee to Turkey from Kobanê.
At the time of the phone call, ISIS's attacks had not started. The UN official is calling from Turkey, and is aware of what is about to happen. In other words, ISIS is going to attack Kobanê, Kobanê is going to fall and the UN and Turkey are going to greet the refugees. The plan does not belong to the UN, however, they are made aware of it.
The population of Kobanê and the surrounding areas is around 400,000. It is expected that the people of Kobanê will completely flee.
This is the introduction to this article, as the plan to attack Kobanê is not only ISIS's plan. It seems to be a deeper and larger plan; made in Ankara.
It is worth noting that the government institutions in Urfa were also making contingency plans for Kobanê to fall on the 20th of September.
Turkey, as we have been saying for a long time, wants to suffocate the Rojava Revolution. Ankara is of the thought that "the Kurdish movement fails in Rojava, than the model it proposes for the whole of Kurdistan and the region will take a fatal blow". This is why, since Ocalan's Newroz manifesto in 2013, the Turkish government has stalled the peace process and increased its preparations for war by building military stations across Kurdistan.
Some may argue that the fact that Turkey is part of the coalition against ISIS disproves this theory. However, Turkey's priority is to deal the Kurdish movement a blow, through the hands of ISIS. Once the Rojava Revolution is suffocated, Turkey will no longer seek a partnership with ISIS. Some also say that "ISIS controlling border with Turkey is dangerous for Turkey". However, Turkey is not discomforted by such a thought. Turkey will later use this as justification for entering Syria to establish a "buffer zone". Turkey prefers ISIS to a free Rojava; because the Kurdish phobia is poisoning the minds of organisations like the AKP. The Kurds have the strength to ruin Turkey's plan, this is why Turkey's plans for the region can only lead to more bloodshed and fighting.
Turkish officials and the self-defined "expended champs" that are the columnists close to the AKP say that Turkey is not supporting ISIS. The Kurdish movement, on the other hand, is arguing that the plan to attack Kobane was made by Turkey and ISIS together. The KCK's recent statement showed that they will revise their policy accordingly. We are going through a strategically breakable period. Hours and minutes are now significantly decisive.
When we take a look at the borders around the Kobanê canton, we can see that it is physically impossible to attack Kobane without making use of the Turkish border. Those coordinating the Kobanê attack are special forces and army officers who have previously fought against PKK guerrillas. For some reason ISIS members who are manoeuvring through the Turkish border in order attack YPG positions from behind are not spotted by the Turkish army. Rather, they are busy attacking the Kurds, making announcements like "ISIS will finish you in Kobanê, we will finish you here".
Big plans are being made over Kobane. The most important place of Rojava is trying to be demolished. YPG fighters are trying to get to Kobanê through Tel Abyad. Geographically speaking there is no other way. However, once again Turkey is making problems. They have arranged for the Begara tribe in the region to form an army to fight the YPG. On the Turkish side of the border, lands owned by government owned TIGEM farmlands, two temporary border crossings have been formed; no journalists are allowed near the area. Why?
The leader of the Begara tribe, Newaf El Besiri, said himself that the tribe's attack on Serekaniye was organised in Urfa. He held a joint press conference with the current mayor, who was then the governor of Urfa; we published the video.
Tel Abyad falls to the East of Kobanê, and in a short time this region will be liberated. There is heavy fighting in the southern and eastern fronts. ISIS is sending reinforcements to the area from Raqqa.
One of the other points that needs to be analysed regarding Kobane is the USA's air strikes. The USA's strikes on Raqqa has no effect on ISIS units attacking Kobane. None of the coalition forces have engaged with ISIS in this region. To the contrary, ISIS has had to send more reinforcements to the Kobanê from as it sees Kobanê as a way to protect itself from the strikes in Raqqa. Kobanê is not a strategic region for the USA. The USA sees the falling of Kobanê as a way to get the Kurds in Syria to plea for its support. For this to come at the hands of ISIS is not a problem of principle for the USA.
In the final analysis, Kobanê will not fall. We know that Kobanê will not allow for ISIS to overrun the city. The videos coming in from Kobanê show that the resistance will succeed.
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