Gerger: Erdoðan sees himself as a new Peron

Gerger: Erdoðan sees himself as a new Peron

International Relations expert Haluk Gerger expressed that he could not find what he expected from the Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoðan’s visit to Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and the United States.

“Turkey has not modified its role” says Gerger who argues that the United States can only make concession to Turkey over Kurds. The AKP government derives advantage from the regional crisis and Erdoðan wants to be Turkey’s platform, comments Gerger.

Evaluating Turkey’s foreign policy to Roj TV, Haluk Gerger makes the following determinations;

The point I want to attract your attention to is that these tours, talks and diplomatic activities shouldn’t be followed from the propaganda eye of the Turkish media which tells that the world is being shaken, Turkey is performing great things, which is propaganda of Turks to Turks and shouldn’t be believed in.

Turkey is not idling; there is a multi-dimensional crisis of the Arab regimes. On one side regimes are overthrown, peoples are rising. Joining the crisis in Iran, we can say that there is a regional crisis.

On the other side is the Israeli crisis which is multi-dimensional with respects of the Israeli’s economy, social structure and the Palestinian struggle. There is also a multi-dimensional crisis in the United States which got into a military dilemma in the Middle East and Afghanistan. Its economy is already in view. It will call an election and it is not actually wide open if Obama will win or not. There is a political instability and it doesn’t know how to pay its debts.

There is also a crisis of Turkey. The AKP government now bears a task for this crisis and tries to take advantage of this task; to offer itself to the U.S. , which is in crisis in the region, as an alternative against Israel which is also in crisis and under isolation in the region. Turkey says that ‘I am the Trojan horse and subcontractor of the U.S. for having a good dialogue and cooperation with Arabs, not Israel which is under isolation in the region and doesn’t have any dialogue with Arabs’.

The second task Turkey bears is to sell the Turkish-Islamic synthesis, the neo-ottomanism starting with Turgut Özal, to the people in Turkey. This respect also has an internal extend; Turkey is about to have a Peron type of padishah. We know that Erdoðan's new political career will progress to the presidential system once the President Gul's term of Office is over after two years. So, from this respect we see that Erdoðan wants to spread the Turkish Islamic synthesis.

In return for the task it bears, Turkey only demands an active U.S. support to overcome the Kurdish issue telling that it is in a military, political, historical and moral trouble. Should the U.S. give support, the same thing will happen with that in 90’s. Bad things will happen, people will suffer and many will die. But the simple circle, the vicious cycle will again return to the same point.

As to the meeting with Obama, all movements out of the command of the U.S. are considered as terror, which corresponds to Kurds in Turkey. The point to be seen here is that the U.S. doesn’t have much to give to Turkey as it already provides warplanes and instant intelligence.

But in general, when we consider the tensed up relations with Israel and the tension in Cyprus, Greece and the Mediterranean, the United States can only make concession to Turkey over Kurds. In other words, the only advantage Turkey can draw from this picture is this probable concession by the U.S. who however can only make this concession via South Kurdistan, not alone. South Kurdistan and Barzani stand at a very strategic point. Should Kurds stand strong there, should they able to prevent this concession, Turkey will return empty handed, which would be a fiasco.”