Peace and Democracy Party (BDP) before the general election
Peace and Democracy Party (BDP) before the general election
Baðýmsýz Haber Ajansý (BHA) takes a look at the BDP (Peace and Democracy Party) which is preparing to contest the general elections with the block called Labour, Freedom and Democracy in order to overcome the 10 percent election threshold. It is expected that as many as 34 of the BDP candidates could enter Parliament though BDP has nominated more than 60 candidates all over Turkey. According to the survey made by A&G Research Company overall Turkey, it is expected that BDP would send a minimum of 30 MPs to Parliament.
In the general elections of 12 June, BDP, EMEP, KADEP, EDP, SDP and Green Party from 38 provinces, have been nominated 61 candidates.
The nomination of names like KADEP leader Þerafettin Elçi, known for his closeness to Mesut Barzani and names like islamist Altan Tan from the BDP lists have been evaluated as one of the significant steps of politicization of the Kurdish movement.
In order not only to take the votes of Kurdish voters but also of the Turkish voters, BDP has been quite bold in its choice of candidates. Among the names are film director Sýrrý Süreya Önder and one of the most well known representative of Turkey’s socialist movement Ertuðrul Kürkçü. Among the candidates who are believed to run on a winning ticket is former MP Leyla Zana who has been jailed for 10 years and Hatip Dicle who was arrested in the context of the KCK operation.
BDP province by province
DÝYARBAKIR: It is believed that 11 MPs would be elected on 12 June. AKP’s poor candidates except for Galip Ensarioðlu from Diyarbakýr, constitutes a noteworthy advantage for BDP.
BDP might be ready for an historical election in Diyarbakýr.
VAN : BDP had a crucial success in 2009 local elections, and is attempting to have the same success in the 2011 elections. BDP has nominated one of Abdullah Öcalan’s lawyers, Aysel Tuðluk
URFA: It is among the provinces where the BDP has increased its number of MP. The Block has nominated two candidates in Urfa.
MARDÝN: BDP has nominated 3 candidates among whom Ahmet Türk. If BDP’s votes do not increase and being distributed proportionately, all of the 3 candidates may enter Parliament. In this election district, the rates of votes of parties which can not pass the election threshold and the independent candidates are very significant. In 2007 elections, this ratio is 11,7 percent when the parties which can not pass the election threshold are concerned.
AÐRI: Due to its decreasing population, the number of its MP in Parliament in 2011 elections decreased from 5 to 4. After the cancellation of one of its candidates, the High Council of Elections, Halil Aksoy’s election is being expected in Aðrý.
MUÞ : In the province of Muþ where BDP has two MPs, it is generally accepted that two independent candidates would be in Parliament in 2011 elections.
ÞIRNAK: It is among the election districts the Block is more positive about. Three candidates have been nominated.
BATMAN: Batman which will send 4 MPs to Parliament in 2011, is being represented by two names now. Block has nominated two candidates again.
BÝNGÖL: In Bingöl results of elections are waited with curiosity. Regionally speaking it could be under the election threshold, if Saadet Party took a higher proportion of votes, that might open the way of bloc’s independent candidate in Bingöl.
BÝTLÝS: In Bitlis where, 3 MPs will go to Parliament.
SÝÝRT: After the increase in the votes in 2009 (37,77 percent), it seems certain that one of the names would go to Parliament. BDP has nominated BDP co-chairman Gültan Kýþýnak in Siirt.
HAKKARÝ: In BDP's castle Hakkari, 3 candidates have been nominated from the block for the 2011 elections. In Hakkari, it is guessed that 3 MPs would be elected for Parliament.
IÐDIR: Block has nominated one candidate for the 2011 elections in Iðdýr. It is anticipated that having a potential of 40 percent of votes, BDP would easily send an independent candidate to Parliament.
TUNCELÝ: It is looked almost certain in Dersim that block can have an independent MP. CHP's proportion of its votes is rather significant. In Tunceli where only two MPs would go to Parliament, if CHP took the 50 percent of votes, independent candidate should take at least 25 percent of votes. One independent candidate is being expected to be sent to the Parliament.
Independent candidates supported by DTP could not join the Parliament in Adana and Mersin in the 2007 general elections. This time, in both election districts two independent candidates are being expected to enter Parliament. Especially, one of the well-known names of Turkish left who is candidate from Mersin, Ertuðrul Kürkçü's participation to Parliament is almost certain. Another scenario is MHP's election threshold issue. Although it is a weak probability, if MHP could not pass the election threshold, the way of independent candidates would be opened in Ýzmir, Ankara and Antep.
However, after the June 12 general elections, a hard test is awaiting BDP. Since, the performance of BDP which is in the middle of preperation of a new Constitution debates, is being wondered. If the government deals with the demands of BDP about the new constitution, this process may launch the period of PKK’s disarmament period.
In the general elections of 12 June, BDP, EMEP, KADEP, EDP, SDP and Green Party from 38 provinces, have been nominated 61 candidates.
The nomination of names like KADEP leader Þerafettin Elçi, known for his closeness to Mesut Barzani and names like islamist Altan Tan from the BDP lists have been evaluated as one of the significant steps of politicization of the Kurdish movement.
In order not only to take the votes of Kurdish voters but also of the Turkish voters, BDP has been quite bold in its choice of candidates. Among the names are film director Sýrrý Süreya Önder and one of the most well known representative of Turkey’s socialist movement Ertuðrul Kürkçü. Among the candidates who are believed to run on a winning ticket is former MP Leyla Zana who has been jailed for 10 years and Hatip Dicle who was arrested in the context of the KCK operation.
BDP province by province
DÝYARBAKIR: It is believed that 11 MPs would be elected on 12 June. AKP’s poor candidates except for Galip Ensarioðlu from Diyarbakýr, constitutes a noteworthy advantage for BDP.
BDP might be ready for an historical election in Diyarbakýr.
VAN : BDP had a crucial success in 2009 local elections, and is attempting to have the same success in the 2011 elections. BDP has nominated one of Abdullah Öcalan’s lawyers, Aysel Tuðluk
URFA: It is among the provinces where the BDP has increased its number of MP. The Block has nominated two candidates in Urfa.
MARDÝN: BDP has nominated 3 candidates among whom Ahmet Türk. If BDP’s votes do not increase and being distributed proportionately, all of the 3 candidates may enter Parliament. In this election district, the rates of votes of parties which can not pass the election threshold and the independent candidates are very significant. In 2007 elections, this ratio is 11,7 percent when the parties which can not pass the election threshold are concerned.
AÐRI: Due to its decreasing population, the number of its MP in Parliament in 2011 elections decreased from 5 to 4. After the cancellation of one of its candidates, the High Council of Elections, Halil Aksoy’s election is being expected in Aðrý.
MUÞ : In the province of Muþ where BDP has two MPs, it is generally accepted that two independent candidates would be in Parliament in 2011 elections.
ÞIRNAK: It is among the election districts the Block is more positive about. Three candidates have been nominated.
BATMAN: Batman which will send 4 MPs to Parliament in 2011, is being represented by two names now. Block has nominated two candidates again.
BÝNGÖL: In Bingöl results of elections are waited with curiosity. Regionally speaking it could be under the election threshold, if Saadet Party took a higher proportion of votes, that might open the way of bloc’s independent candidate in Bingöl.
BÝTLÝS: In Bitlis where, 3 MPs will go to Parliament.
SÝÝRT: After the increase in the votes in 2009 (37,77 percent), it seems certain that one of the names would go to Parliament. BDP has nominated BDP co-chairman Gültan Kýþýnak in Siirt.
HAKKARÝ: In BDP's castle Hakkari, 3 candidates have been nominated from the block for the 2011 elections. In Hakkari, it is guessed that 3 MPs would be elected for Parliament.
IÐDIR: Block has nominated one candidate for the 2011 elections in Iðdýr. It is anticipated that having a potential of 40 percent of votes, BDP would easily send an independent candidate to Parliament.
TUNCELÝ: It is looked almost certain in Dersim that block can have an independent MP. CHP's proportion of its votes is rather significant. In Tunceli where only two MPs would go to Parliament, if CHP took the 50 percent of votes, independent candidate should take at least 25 percent of votes. One independent candidate is being expected to be sent to the Parliament.
Independent candidates supported by DTP could not join the Parliament in Adana and Mersin in the 2007 general elections. This time, in both election districts two independent candidates are being expected to enter Parliament. Especially, one of the well-known names of Turkish left who is candidate from Mersin, Ertuðrul Kürkçü's participation to Parliament is almost certain. Another scenario is MHP's election threshold issue. Although it is a weak probability, if MHP could not pass the election threshold, the way of independent candidates would be opened in Ýzmir, Ankara and Antep.
However, after the June 12 general elections, a hard test is awaiting BDP. Since, the performance of BDP which is in the middle of preperation of a new Constitution debates, is being wondered. If the government deals with the demands of BDP about the new constitution, this process may launch the period of PKK’s disarmament period.
